Showing posts with label economics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label economics. Show all posts

Thursday, April 28, 2011

Damn This Is Awesome

This is Russ Roberts' second such video...the first was also good.  I love how a totally made up 'economics joke rap' is >= musically a large portion of what passes as hip hop.  The video is even better than the majority of videos for non-joke music too:

Friday, May 21, 2010

Stabilize the Debt: Interactive App

I ran into this site today:

Stabilize the Debt: An Exercise In Hard Choices

It's pretty cool -- it's basically a big menu of federal budgeting options (some positively affecting debt, others negatively affecting it), with explanations and associated dollar value impacts.  The 'goal' in the 'game' is to make choices that would result in a debt of 60% of GDP in 2018.

The numbers associated with the choices make clear how minor the impact of some supposedly horribly expensive things are.  For example, you see lots of news coverage on how the F-22's production run has been capped at 1/3rd of the original slate.  Cancelling all of the proposed defense programs slated for killing (F-22 is just one of several such programs) only saves $30B.  There are individual, much narrower-sounding tax choices on entitlements that have impacts an order of magnitude greater.

Friday, August 22, 2008

The Other Side of the Coin..

As a follow-on to the Obama post the other day (the worshipful one), I came across this Hubbard piece in the WSJ yesterday: We Can't Tax Our Way Out Of the Entitlement Crisis.  His applauds Obama for moderating the degree of some of his planned tax increases (particularly the retreat from a fully-uncapped payroll tax), but points out that the revenue that would be brought in by his current tax increase planns, when combined with his unwillingness to consider benefit cuts, leaves us only someone less screwed then our current path. 

In other words, he has not put forward any plan to address Medicare (and its less-challenging fellow traveler, SS) growth explosion.  (Then again, I don't think anyone thinks McCain has any plan where the numbers add up, either.)

Wednesday, August 20, 2008

Free-Market Loving, Big Spending, Fiscally Conservative Wealth Redistributionist

That is the title (the browser title, at least) of a forthcoming New York Times Magazine story actually titled How Obama Reconciles Dueling Views on the Economy. It's a pretty long piece (I've linked to the single page version) and tries to tell an interesting tale of Obama's economic evolution from his teaching days to the present day.

It's worth reading. The weak point: the author's barely veiled adulation for his subject. The critical statements he makes are about as aggressive as a Larry King interview (made worse yet by omitting large swathes of well-known policy critiques made by others).

Monday, June 23, 2008

More Premarital Sex == Less HIV

I need to buy the Elizabeth Pisani book The Wisdom of Whores; it sounds like it will be interesting in the same way that Alexa Albert's Brothel was. Anyway, she offers some data from the developing world that seems to bolster Steven Landsburg's argument that if the total amount of sex went up (via increased frequency among those who do it less frequently now, rather than hyper-sex amongst those already most frequent), STD rates would decline. This argument was made in More Sex Is Safer Sex.

The full quote should be read over at the MR post where I saw this story, but one bit that I found interesting:

At the start of the 1990s, 57 percent of twenty-one-year-old men in Northern Thailand trooped off to the brothel to do their philandering. More than half the sex workers who soaked up their excess energy were HIV-infected....

Thursday, January 11, 2007

Book Commentary: The End of Poverty

The lead up to the holidays had me pretty busy with work, and so I was doing even less reading than normal. During my flight out to DC over my birthday weekend, I started Jeffery Sachs' The End of Poverty: Economic Possibilities for Our Time. I nearly finished it on the flight to and from Michigan over Christmas, and finally polished it off earlier this week at home one night.

Maybe I was on a development economics kick lately, what with the William Easterly book I mentioned a few posts ago. With Bono's name prominently displayed on the front (he wrote the forward), I was a bit apprehensive about the content of this book (not sure what balance it was going to strike between evangelizing pamphlet and scholarly work). With Bono being in the picture, it seemed a pretty safe bet that plenty of content on AIDS and debt relief would be on the menu!

The book is not half bad. It does do a pretty good job of making the case that most Western nations give far less foreign aid than their citizens think. By 'most Western nations', he almost entirely means the United States, as the entire book is fairly laden with America as not sufficiently generous, given its wealth. Sure, we give far more aid than any other country, in absolute dollar terms...it's just that when you rank countries by the amount of aid given as a percentage of GDP, we come out way down the list (the mid-teens, I think). He says this without a mention other forms of aid provided by Western nations, such as indirect subsidies provided to other countries (here I'm thinking of the giant indirect defense subsidy that the USA provides -- why bother having a capable military when you know that the USA has your back if things hit the fan?). In any case, the average person on the street (like the ones Leno accosts) probably would throw out figures like 20% (of GDP) for our foreign aid outlay..when it's more in the neighborhood of 0.2%. At the end of the book, he lays out a 'plan' via which an increase to 0.7% would put us on a path to completely eliminating extreme poverty by 2025. The plan is meant to be somewhat front loaded: it provides increased official direct assistance for food, medicines, technical assistance and so on, while focusing on building up the physical infrastructure and education of the citizens towards a self sustaining critical mass. It's the whole feeding giving a man food versus teaching him to fish sort of thing: getting the developing countries on a path via which they can (under their own power, with slightly downward trending ODA) continue to climb the development ladder under their own power.

This all sounds fine and good, there seems to be way too much hand waving away of the challenges. He cites all of the common developed world gripes about how foreign aid being pissed away in developing world assistance projects: loss due to corruption, loss due to insufficient social and physical infrastructure to absorb large amounts of aid, insufficient education among the populace to implement some projects, widespread AIDS, and so on. He debunks all of this with a smattering of counterexamples and not much else. His counterexamples don't seem to be sufficiently powerful to explain away the vast bulk of examples as one might find in a book like Easterly's. Simply labeling nearly all past foreign aid projects (all but the ones he was involved in...more on that later) as failures due to underfunding or poor implementation might work if done for a few cases, but he seems to use this as the reason to explain why Africa is still such a pit (in fact, the GDP per head has even dropped in many countries since the 1960s!). In general, he comes off as as the overly optimistic idealist, whereas Easterly's book had more of a ring of a bemused, world-weary pragmatist. Sachs always seems so utterly confused and dumbfounded when he talks about getting less than 100% of the money he asks for when he comes up with multi-billion dollar aid projects for this or that, always giving the impression that of course this aid project is more worthy than whatever else it is competing with for government handouts.

This brings me to the earlier thing. Reading this book, you'd get the impression that every good or successful international development economics project in the past 20 years had Jeff Sachs at the center. He writes about his instrumental role in a number of successful projects, and has glowing praise for groups with which he had to work -- such as the UN, and for Kofi (who I think he billed as the finest statesman on the planet!) in particular. Organizations with which he has butted horns: the IMF, the World Bank...he has plenty of disparaging remarks about them. Above all though, he has trash to talk about figures within the US government, particularly Republican administrations (his political orientation is never a mystery in this book). The last portion of the book has a healthy dose of anti-Bush remarks as well, but it seemed like this would be showing up sooner or later. In fact, VDH had a piece just today about the tendency to blame America first and foremost. It's a relevant read here.